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Date: 1/11/2021

Title: Is the Real Winter Cold Ever Coming?

With very few exceptions the winter of 2020/2021 has been a mild one so far. The graphic below shows what temperatures have relative to normal for the past 90 days. Most of the lower 48 states and most of Canada has had above average temperatures and not prolonged periods of severe cold. We are close to being halfway through January, so where is the winter cold we usually receive by this time of the year?

As we have discussed in previous posts, winters dominated by a La Nina weather pattern can many times have periods of above average temperatures. However, La Nina can only hold back the cold for so long and we are about to see a change that will prove that point.

Over the past two weeks, there has been record cold in many areas of China, most of Russia and a major snowstorm hit Spain this past weekend. All the real cold air is on the other side of the globe. However, by the weekend expect much colder temperatures across parts of the Northern Plains. The eastern parts of the Dakotas, Minnesota and Wisconsin will see much colder temperatures and some snow by late this week and weekend. This will be the first salvo of cold. The graphic below shows the snow potential late this week. Lake effect snows will also move into the Great Lakes.

After this weekend, there will be another shot of colder air will be moving into the central areas of the USA and will spread eastward by the end of next week. Stockgrowers should enjoy the relatively mild weather to start the week as winter will get going more robustly by late this week and next week.